The next big thing in the economic meltdown are the Commercial Real Estate Mortgages as many economists, like Gerald Celente of The Trends Research Institute, have been saying now for a long time, and as I wrote earlier:

First to default were the now (in)famous “sub-primes”. Defaulting now are the “primes” and the “alt-A’s”. Next up: “Commercial Real Estate Mortgages”.

Today, the biggest US Commercial Real Estate lender, Capmark filed for bankruptcy.

The US has been building commercial properties since the early 90s somewhere along the lines of 5 times the rate of population growth and up until today Capmark has been lending out money to about 2/3 of all building projects in the US. As you understand, this is a huge event.

The next big thing after this is of course all the derivates based on these loans like “Mortgage Backed Securities” etc. The derivatives bubble is currently about 20-30 times the global GDB depending on who you ask. Yes, in the Quadrillions. It’s such a huge number its almost impossible to grasp. This is one of the many reasons this blog is called “Economic Collapse”. We will need an Economic Paradigm Shift to get out of this one. The system we have now based on dept, fiat currency and Fractional Reserve Banking is proving not to work. Likely we will see an interesting line of events shaping from today and for the rest of the year. By early november the main stream news will probably start talking like they did one year ago when Lehman Brothers went bust. Hold on to your hats, folks, there is a storm coming. Interesting time to be alive…

If the Obama Administration decides that Capmark is too big to fail and bails this institution out, the Quantitative Easing program of the Federal Reserve has to gain momentum. This will further the downfall of the US Dollar, which will mean gold goes further up.

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Johnny Mellgren is a Swedish entrepreneur with a keen interest in macro economics and macro politics. This is his web site where he blogs about the economic collapse of our time, what to do about it and the economic future we create together. Contact Johnny Mellgren.


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I provide advice on investment portfolios for private and corporate clients. I also hold lectures in the history of money and the current economic collapse and how to protect your wealth in a time of transition.